Financial Mgmt: Risk & Return

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dkutcher  on November 1, 2010

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Financial Mgmt: Risk & Return

Risk Aversion
only taking on risk if the return is high
1/27
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Risk Aversion only taking on risk if the return is high
Risk standard deviation
Portfolio collection of securities or assets, reduces variability
Single-Stock Selection not in portfolio, compare expected return vs StD (risk)
Portfolio Variance not weighted average, combining stocks in a portfolio can reduce the variability of overall return
Portfolio Expected Return weighted average of individuals asset's expected returns
Positively Correlated Returns produce same result as they do individually
\/\ + \/\ = \/\
Negatively Correlated Returns cancel each other out to give E(R)
/\/ + \/\ = -----
How Can An Investor Reduce Variance of Return? put together stocks with different price patterns, don't pick from only one industry
Announcement of Earnings expected portion (what company expects earnings to be) vs surprise portion
News systematic risk vs unsystematic risk
Systematic Risk news affecting entire market (GDP, economic policy). nondiversifiable
Unsystematic Risk news affecting only particular firms/assets, portfolio formation reduces this. diversifiable
Unsystematic Risk Example CEO gets indicted for fraud, pps will go down (volatility for that stock and that stock only)
Total Risk of a Stock systematic + unsystematic risk
Principle of Diversification a collection of assets can have less variability than the typical individual asset
Systematic Risk Principle the reward for bearing risk depends only upon the systematic risk of an investment
Expected Return risk free return + risk premium (reward for bearing systematic risk)
Beta Coefficient (B) a measure of an asset's systematic risk relative to an "average risky asset" (market as a whole). no ideal B.
high B = _ risk and _ reward high risk and high expected reward
Average Risky Asset tends to move with market, B=1 (expected to make about what market does)
B=2 asset is twice as volatile as market
Risk-to-Reward Ratio risk premium per unit of systematic risk. should be the same for all assets if competitive market is in equilibrium (only systematic risk affects expected return)
The Security Market Line (SML) gives the expected return/systematic risk relation of assets in a competitive, active, financial market.
Riskless Asset (B=?) B=0 ex. t-bills
Intercept of SML risk free return (Rf)
Slope of SML market risk premium (MRP). E(Rm)-Rf

Rm= Return on Maket
Rf= Risk free return

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dkutcher