-Our thinking operates on two levels: concious & unconcious.
aka ( i-knew-it-all-along method).
finding that something has happened makes it seem inevitable.
ex: 9/11 2nd floor., research study about seperation in relationships(common sense isnt always so common)
Once people know the answer, hindsight makes it seem obvious- so much that ppl become overconfident
ex: etryn -> entry
Poll taken in class by students about themselves.
Hindsight bias and overconfidence often leads us to overestimate our intuition. But scientific inquiry can help us sift reality from illusion.