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IB DCF
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Terms in this set (35)
Walk me through a DCF
"A DCF values a company based on the Present Value of its Cash Flows and the Present Value of its Terminal Value.
First, you project out a company's financials using assumptions for revenue growth, expenses and Working Capital; then you get down to Free Cash Flow for each year, which you then sum up and discount to a Net Present Value, based on your discount rate - usually the Weighted Average Cost of Capital.
Once you have the present value of the Cash Flows, you determine the company's Terminal Value, using either the Multiples Method or the Gordon Growth Method, and then also discount that back to its Net Present Value using WACC.
Finally, you add the two together to determine the company's Enterprise Value."
Walk me through how you get from Revenue to Free Cash Flow in the projections.
Subtract COGS and Operating Expenses to get to Operating Income (EBIT). Then, multiply by (1 - Tax Rate), add back Depreciation and other non-cash charges, and subtract CAPEX and the change in Working Capital.
Note: term-6This gets you to Unlevered Free Cash Flow since you went off EBIT rather than EBT. You might want to confirm that this is what the interviewer is asking for.
(Unlevered) FCF Formula 1
FCF = EBIT*(1-T) + D + A - CapEx - Change NWC
(Unlevered) FCF Formula 2
CF from Operating activities + Interest Expense - Tax Shield on Interest Expense - CapEx
Levered vs. Unlevered Cash Flows
The difference between levered and unlevered free cash flow is expenses. Levered cash flow is the amount of cash a business has after it has met its financial obligations. Unlevered free cash flow is the money the business has before paying its financial obligations. Operating expenses and interest payments are examples of financial obligations that are paid from levered free cash flow.
What's an alternate way to calculate Free Cash Flow aside from taking Net Income, adding back Depreciation, and subtracting Changes in Operating Assets / Liabilities and CapEx?
Take Cash Flow from Operations and subtract CapEx - that gets you to Levered Cash Flow. To get to Unlevered Cash Flow, you then need to add back the tax-adjusted Interest Expenses and subtract the tax-adjusted Interest Income.
Why do you use 5 or 10 years for DCF projections?
That's usually about as far as you can reasonably predict into the future. Less than 5 years would be too short to be useful, and over 10 years is too difficult to predict for most companies.
What do you usually use for the discount rate?
Normally you use WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital), though you might also use Cost of Equity depending on how you've set up the DCF.
How do you calculate WACC?
The formula is: Cost of Equity
(% Equity) + Cost of Debt
(% Debt) * (1 - Tax Rate)
In all cases, the percentages refer to how much of the company's capital structure is taken up by each component.
For Cost of Equity, you can use the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM - see the next question) and for the debt you usually look at comparable companies/debt issuances and the interest rates and yields issued by similar companies to get estimates.
How do you calculate the Cost of Equity?
Cost of Equity = Risk-Free Rate + Beta * Equity Risk Premium
The risk-free rate represents how much a 10-year or 20-year US Treasury should yield; Beta is calculated based on the "riskiness" of Comparable Companies and the Equity Risk Premium is the % by which stocks are expected to out-perform "risk-less" assets.
Normally you pull the Equity Risk Premium from a publication called Ibbotson's.
Note: This formula does not tell the whole story. Depending on the bank and how
precise you want to be, you could also add in a "size premium" and "industry premium" to account for how much a company is expected to out-perform its peers is according to its market cap or industry.
Small company stocks are expected to out-perform large company stocks and certain industries are expected to out-perform others, and these premiums reflect these expectations.
How do you get to Beta in the Cost of Equity calculation?
You look up the Beta for each Comparable Company (usually on Bloomberg), un-lever each one, take the median of the set and then lever it based on your company's capital structure. Then you use this Levered Beta in the Cost of Equity calculation
For your reference, the formulas for un-levering and re-levering Beta are below:
Un-Levered Beta = Levered Beta / (1 + ((1 - Tax Rate) * (Total Debt / Equity)))
Levered Beta = Un-Levered Beta
(1 + ((1 - Tax Rate)
(Total Debt / Equity)))
Why do you have to un-lever and re-lever Beta?
Again, keep in mind our "apples-to-apples" theme. When you look up the Betas on Bloomberg (or from whatever source you're using) they will be levered to reflect the debt already assumed by each company.
But each company's capital structure is different and we want to look at how "risky" a company is regardless of what % debt or equity it has. To get that, we need to un-lever Beta each time.
But at the end of the calculation, we need to re-lever it because we want the Beta used in the Cost of Equity calculation to reflect the true risk of our company, taking into account its capital structure this time.
Would you expect a manufacturing company or a technology company to have a higher Beta?
A technology company, because technology is viewed as a riskier industry than manufacturing.
Let's say that you use Levered Free Cash Flow rather than Unlevered Free Cash Flow in your DCF - what is the effect?
Levered Free Cash Flow gives you Equity Value rather than Enterprise Value, since the cash flow is only available to equity investors (debt investors have already been paid with the interest payments).
If you use Levered Free Cash Flow, what should you use as the Discount Rate?
You would use the Cost of Equity rather than WACC since we're not concerned with Debt or Preferred Stock in this case - we're calculating Equity Value, not Enterprise Value.
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