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Question

According to Global Research News (Mar. 4, 2014), one-fourth of all rough diamonds produced in the world are blood diamonds. (Any diamond that is mined in a war zone - often by children - in order to finance a warlord's activity, an insurgency, or an invading army's effort is considered a blood diamond.) Also, 90% of the world's rough diamonds are processed in Surat, India, and of these diamonds, one-third are blood diamonds. Find the probability that a rough diamond is processed in Surat and is a blood diamond.

Solution

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Answered 1 year ago
Answered 1 year ago
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Let

  • AA=Blood diamond
  • AcA^c=Not a blood diamond
  • BB=Diamond processed in Surat, India

P(A)=14=0.25P(B)=90%=0.9=910P(AB)=13\begin{align*} P(A)&=\frac{1}{4}=0.25 \\ P(B)&=90\%=0.9=\frac{9}{10} \\ P(A|B)&=\frac{1}{3} \end{align*}

Use the General multiplication rule: P(A and B)=P(AB)=P(A)×P(BA)=P(B)×P(AB)P(A\text{ and }B)=P(A\cap B)=P(A)\times P(B|A)=P(B)\times P(A|B)

P(A and B)=P(B)×P(AB)=13×910=930=310=0.3=30%\begin{align*} P(A\text{ and }B)&=P(B)\times P(A|B) \\ &=\frac{1}{3}\times \frac{9}{10} \\ &=\frac{9}{30} \\ &=\frac{3}{10} \\ &=0.3 \\ &=30\% \end{align*}

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