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After much research on the developing economy and capital markets of the country of Otunia, your firm, GAC, has decided to include an investment in the Otunia stock market in its Emerging Markets Commingled Fund. However, GAC has not yet decided whether to invest actively or by indexing. Your opinion on the active versus indexing decision has been solicited. The following is a summary of the research findings:
Otunia’s economy is fairly well diversified across agricultural and natural resources, manufacturing (both consumer and durable goods), and a growing finance sector. Transaction costs in securities markets are relatively large in Otunia because of high commissions and government “stamp taxes” on securities trades. Accounting standards and disclosure regulations are quite detailed, resulting in wide public availability of reliable information about companies’ financial performance.
Capital flows into and out of Otunia, and foreign ownership of Otunia securities is strictly regulated by an agency of the national government. The settlement procedures under these ownership rules often cause long delays in settling trades made by nonresidents. Senior finance officials in the government are working to deregulate capital flows and foreign ownership, but GAC’s political consultant believes that isolationist sentiment may prevent much real progress in the short run.
a. Briefly discuss aspects of the Otunia environment that favor investing actively, and aspects that favor indexing.
b. Recommend whether GAC should invest in Otunia actively or by indexing. Justify your recommendation based on the factors identified in part ( a).
Solution
Verifieda)
Factors in favor of active management:
- Detailed accounting standard and good financial disclosure: The basic analysis of the research can be done by a trained analyst who has reliable and detailed knowledge of accounting standards and finances in order to identify securities that do not have efficient prices.
(If financial and accounting information is published through indexing, the market will be more efficient but the value of management and analysis will decline).
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Developments in the economic and securities markets are the result of rapid economic growth and change, where securities do not have a fair price. Active investors can benefit from these opportunities.
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Active investors can use top-down strategies because there is a possibility due to diversity among different sectors of the economy of the state of Otunia.
(By indexing, the risk associated with individual industries can be avoided).
- High transaction costs: Trading activities will be discouraged due to the high transaction costs of international investors which will result in inefficiencies that can be exploited as an opportunity for active investors.
(Lower costs and reduced economic activity will support indexing).
- Capital flow restrictions can disappoint foreign investors by limiting their participation and serving only the Otunia state market which can result in market inefficiencies that active investors can take advantage of.
(A smaller trading volume and a capital constraint would benefit indexing)
- Domestic investors may benefit from securities whose price is unrealistic due to delays in the markets of foreign investors. This may discourage foreign investors.
(Industries that have less settlement problems resort to indexing).
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