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Question
Building permits were issued last year to three contractors starting up a new subdivision: Tara Construction built two houses; Westview, three houses; and Hearthstone, six houses. Tara’s houses have a 60% probability of developing leaky basements; homes built by Westview and Hearthstone have that same problem 50% of the time and 40% of the time, respectively. Yesterday, the Better Business Bureau received a complaint from one of the new homeowners that his basement is leaking. Who is most likely to have been the contractor?
Solution
VerifiedStep 1
1 of 3Let
= Tara Construction
= Westview
= Hearthstone
=Leaky basement
Given:
Bayes's theorem:
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