Question

Decide whether each of the following statements makes sense (or is clearly true) or does not make sense (or is clearly false). Explain your reasoning.

Because either there is life on Mars or there is not, the probability of life on Mars is 0.50.5.

Solution

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The probablity of an event ranges from 00 to 11. \\ The probability of an event happening and the probability of the same event not happening have a sum of 11. \\ The probability that there is life on Mars may range from 00 to 11. If the probability that there is life on Mars is 0.20.2, then the probability that there is no life on Mars is 0.80.8. \\ Thus, the probability that there is life on Mars is not necessarily equl to 0.50.5. \\ Therefore, the given statement does not make sense.

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