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Pigmented makeup products like mascara and eye shadow may contain metal (e.g., nickel) allergens. Is a nickel allergy more likely to occur in women who report cosmetic dermatitis from using eye shadow or mascara? This was the question of interest in a paper published in the Journal of the European Academy of Dermatology and Venereology (June 2010). In a sample of 131 women with cosmetic dermatitis from using eye shadow, 12 were diagnosed with a nickel allergy. In a sample of 250 women with cosmetic dermatitis from using mascara, 25 were diagnosed with a nickel allergy. Suppose you are informed that the true proportion with a nickel allergy for one of the two groups (eye shadow or mascara) is .12. Can you determine which group is referenced? Explain.
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Since the number of successes is not at least 15, the large sample conditions is not satisfied and thus we need to use the confidence interval for a population proportion.
The sample proportion is the number of successes divided by the sample size. Since we use the adjusted confidence interval, we add 2 failures and 2 successes to the sample.
For confidence level , determine using the normal probability table in the appendix, which is the z-score corresponding to a probability of :
The margin of error is then:
The boundaries of the confidence interval are then:
We are 95% confident that the true proportion of women diagnosed with a nickel allergy when using the eye shadow is between 0.0523 and 0.1551.
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