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Question
The Neal Company wants to estimate next year’s return on equity (ROE) under different financial leverage ratios. Neal’s total capital is $14 million, it currently uses only common equity, it has no future plans to use preferred stock in its capital structure, and its federal-plus-state tax rate is 40%. The CFO has estimated next year’s EBIT for three possible states of the world:$4.2 million with a 0.2 probability, $2.8 million with a 0.5 probability, and$700,000 with a 0.3 probability. Calculate Neal’s expected ROE, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation for each of the following debt-to-capital ratios; then evaluate the results: $$ \begin{matrix} \text{Debt/Capital Ratio} & \text{Interest Rate}\\ \text{0\\%} & \text{--}\\ \text{10} & \text{9\\%}\\ \text{50} & \text{11}\\ \text{60} & \text{14}\\ \end{matrix} $$
Solution
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1 of 12This problem is asking us to find the expected ROE, standard deviation and coefficient of variation for several different debt/capital ratio and interest rate scenarios.
We need to find the for each of the three probabilities and then add them together which will give us the final expected ROE
Once we have each of the ROEs we can find the for each of the probabilities which when added together will give us the variance.
can be determined by taking the square root of this variance
Finally we can determine the by dividing the standard deviation by the expected ROE
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