Question

Which of the following phenomena would be either consistent with or a violation of the efficient market hypothesis? Explain briefly. a. Nearly half of all professionally managed mutual funds are able to outperform the S&P 500 in a typical year. b. Money managers who outperform the market (on a risk-adjusted basis) in one year are likely to outperform in the following year. c. Stock prices tend to be predictably more volatile in January than in other months. d. Stock prices of companies that announce increased earnings in January tend to outperform the market in February. e. Stocks that perform well in one week perform poorly in the following week.

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Statement aa. is consistent with the efficient market hypothesis. Statement bb. represents a violation of efficient market theory. Statement cc. is consistent with the efficient market hypothesis. Statements dd. and ee. are not consistent with efficient market theory.

The abnormal profits can occur in January immediately after earnings are announced, while rapid stock reversals in one week over the next one can lead to easy earnings.

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