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Question

Would the yield spread on a corporate bond over a Treasury bond with the same maturity tend to become wider or narrower if the economy appeared to be heading toward a recession? Would the change in the spread for a given company be affected by the firm’s credit strength? Explain.

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The yield spread on a corporate bond over a Treasury bond with the same maturity will tend\textit{tend} to become wider\textit{wider} if the economy appears to be heading toward a recession, specially on lower rated bonds. This is so because investors will become more risk-averse during periods of recession and hence would require a higher rate of return on lower rated.

Yes, the change in the spread for a given company will be affected by the firm's credit strength. If you would take a look at figure 7.5 on pages 251 and 252, the yield spread on bonds rated BBB increases dramatically during the 2009 financial crisis compared to the yield spread on bonds rated AAA.

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